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Kamala Harris Gains Momentum with Favorability Surge: First Positive Net Rating in 3 Years

Kamala Harris Sees Favorability Boost: A Positive Turn for the First Time in 3 Years:

Vice President Kamala Harris has witnessed a notable surge in her favorability ratings, marking a significant milestone after three years of consistently negative polling numbers. According to the latest data from FiveThirtyEight’s poll aggregator, Harris’ net favorability is now at its closest margin since July 2021, reflecting a growing shift in public opinion.

A Steady Improvement in Favorability:

The turning point in Harris’ favorability trajectory began around July 21, 2024, when her unfavorable rating, which once led by 16 points, began to shrink rapidly. On July 20, 52.7% of Americans held an unfavorable view of Harris, compared to just 36.8% with a positive outlook. By July 27, this gap narrowed to 9.6 points, with unfavorable views dropping to 50.4%, while favorable opinions climbed to 40.8%.

As of September 2024, Harris’ favorability and unfavorability ratings stand neck-and-neck at 46.6% each, marking the first time in three years that the gap between positive and negative opinions has been virtually eliminated.

Impact of the Presidential Debates:

Harris’ rise in favorability has been largely attributed to her strong performance in the September 10 debate against former President Donald Trump. In a CNN flash poll conducted post-debate, a significant 63% of viewers declared Harris the winner, compared to just 37% in favor of Trump. This public approval translated into polling data, with multiple surveys conducted between September 11 and 16 showing Harris with a positive net favorability.

Morning Consult’s poll of 2,037 likely voters gave Harris a 7-point lead in net favorability, with 53% viewing her positively. A Big Village poll echoed this sentiment, showing an 8-point lead with similar favorability figures.

Trump’s Favorability Struggles:

While Harris has been gaining ground, former President Trump’s favorability ratings remain consistently low. As of mid-September, FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker shows Trump with a negative margin of 9.9 points, with 52.7% of Americans viewing him unfavorably and only 42.8% holding a favorable opinion. Despite a slight narrowing in his favorability gap since July, Trump has consistently trailed Harris in both public sentiment and polling data.

What This Means for the 2024 Election:

With the 2024 election approaching, Harris’ growing favorability could play a crucial role in her campaign. FiveThirtyEight’s forecast model now projects that she is on track to win the Electoral College, with a predicted 294 votes compared to Trump’s 244. While there are still uncertainties in the race, Harris’ positive momentum offers a potential boost as she continues her campaign for the presidency.

Despite the rise in her favorability, the polls remain fluid, and the upcoming months will determine how lasting this shift in public opinion will be. Both Harris and Trump face an uphill battle as they compete for the trust and support of American voters.

Conclusion:

Kamala Harris’ recent favorability boost marks a significant change in her political journey. After years of struggling with negative ratings, she is now seeing her popularity rise in the eyes of the American public. As the election campaign intensifies, Harris’ continued momentum could prove to be a decisive factor in the upcoming 2024 election.

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